Watkins Glen (Cup)

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Sep 3, 2005
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CUP YTD

58-41 +22.57 units (Match-Ups)
27-29 +08.64 units (Props/FP)
06-15 +01.58 units (RaceWinners)

Total: +32.79 units

Don't normally make plays before race day but think these may go down after quals Saturday.

RACE WINNER

0.40 unit Carl Edwards (+2000)
Has never led a lap here but was 3rd and 5th last 2 and 6.0 avg. last 5 (never out of the Top 10)

0.15 unit AJ Allmendinger (+5000)
9.3 avg. in his 3 starts at The Glen (4th last yr)
 

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After quals AJ is +1200 and Carl is +1500 so good decision to play those early, now the question is was it worthwhile?
 

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Looking at the radar it doesn't look liked we''ll see any racing today. Not exactly loving the card but this is what I played:

MATCH-UPS

2.50 units Denny Hamlin (-105) over Jamie McMurray (@5dimes)
By far my favorite play today. Hamlin draws a bad starting spot due to his spin on Friday but he has a his car is fast and balanced and he has shown a knack to drive this track with 4 Top 10's in 5 starts

McMurray was decent in practice and quals but not sold, still mired in a horrible season and results here nothing to brag about (2 Top 10's in 8 starts w/a 18.4 avg)

1.50 units Jeff Gordon (+140) over Kurt Busch (@5dimes)
Thinking both these guys are Top 10 but can't turn down Gordon at this price on a road couse even those his stats here lately are not up to par

PROPS/FP

1.50 units Marcos Ambrose (-125) under 3.5 (@5dimes)
Everyone knows this is his to lose only one I see hanging with him is Kyle

RACE WINNERS

Trying the favorite and some at better odds


1.50 units Marcos Ambrose (+350) @5dimes
0.70 unit Jimmie Johnson (+1000) @sportsbook
The other crew chiefs admit this team has the best fuel mileage and he is pretty fast
0.40 unit Carl Edwards (+2000) @sportsbook (played early)
0.40 unit Jeff Gordon (+2000) @sportsbook
0.15 unit AJ Allmendinger (+5000) @sportsbook (played early)

Good luck!
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Sep 21, 2004
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what a crash, hamlin. scheisse.
 

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what a crash, hamlin. scheisse.

yep, glad to see is ok.........if he makes it to the end he easily beats McMurray and I would be looking at a sweep

1-1 - 0.53 unit (Match-Ups)
1-0 +1.50 unit (Props/FP)
1-0 +3.60 unit (Race Winner)

Race Total: +4.57 units
 

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